It is clear that the current assessment method and the conclusions drawn from it do not do justice to the dramatic nature of the development. The long-term accounting comes to the following conclusion:
- The national share of radiative forcing is many times higher than the global budget.
- The discussion of the harmful effects of greenhouse gases comes to wrong conclusions without assessing the long-term effects. The aggregation potential of greenhouse gases is just as important as the radiation efficiency. There are significant differences between long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases.
- Short-lived greenhouse gases from agriculture can be brought to a stable level simply by changing the process. For long-lived carbon dioxide, only an (almost) complete phase-out of the use of fossil fuels will lead to stabilization. These measures require a complete transformation of economic systems.
This is how young people who were informed about the content assess the overall context: “Everyone knows that global warming is a very big problem. But who is really doing anything about it? We humans often tend to suppress problems rather than do something about them, but this is exactly the issue where action is needed and the energy transition is the prerequisite for this. If we continue with our current lifestyle, things will only get worse until it's too late, if it isn't already!”
Link to Podcast: Climate Crisis Forever
Attached is the entire research report:
